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Polymarket

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 40% chance. $154 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.

Chance of Yes: 40%
24 hours: up 7 pts
Traded today: $154
Traded in all: $5K
Closes: January 1, 2027

The odds

Yes40%▲ 7

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:40 AM2:40 PM2:40 AM40% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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