Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will the United Kingdom join the EU?

EU Accession

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before 2040 at 13%, ahead of Before 2035 at 7%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.

Favorite: Before 2040 13%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $1K
Closes: December 31, 2031

Every outcome

Before 204013%
Before 20357%
Before 20325%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:46 AM2:46 PM2:46 AM13% Before 2040

The line follows the current favorite, Before 2040. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.