Kalshi
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
During Trump's term
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 20, 2029 at 14%, ahead of Before 2027 at 2%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $39K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 20, 2029 14%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $39K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 20, 202914%
- Before 20272%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:39 AM2:39 PM2:39 AM14% Before Jan 20, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 20, 2029. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
