Daily market report
Election markets on Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 84% to win the House; the biggest move was AZ-01 (Arizona), where Democratic odds went from 76% to 69%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ-01 (Arizona) | D 76% | D 69% | ▼ 6.8 |
| Wisconsin Governor | D 59% | D 56% | ▼ 3.8 |
| WA-05 (Washington) | D 18% | D 14% | ▼ 3.5 |
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 92% | D 96% | ▲ 3.5 |
| AZ-04 (Arizona) | D 88% | D 92% | ▲ 3.4 |
| WI-01 (Wisconsin) | D 37% | D 34% | ▼ 3.1 |
| IL-01 (Illinois) | D 93% | D 96% | ▲ 3.1 |
| NY-23 (New York) | D 14% | D 17% | ▲ 2.7 |
| NC-08 (North Carolina) | D 11% | D 14% | ▲ 2.7 |
| IN-05 (Indiana) | D 16% | D 14% | ▼ 2.7 |
