Daily market report
Election markets on Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Democrats ended the day 65% to win the Senate (Democratic odds up 1.2 points) and 92% to win the House; the biggest move was Georgia Governor, where Democratic odds went from 60% to 55%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Governor | D 60% | D 55% | ▼ 5.2 |
| VA-05 (Virginia) | D 17% | D 22% | ▲ 4.5 |
| NY-17 (New York) | D 63% | D 68% | ▲ 4.1 |
| IA-01 (Iowa) | D 79% | D 82% | ▲ 3.2 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 69% | D 66% | ▼ 2.8 |
| Alaska Governor | D 81% | D 79% | ▼ 2.7 |
| Alaska Senate | D 78% | D 75% | ▼ 2.6 |
| OK-05 (Oklahoma) | D 11% | D 14% | ▲ 2.3 |
| TX-09 (Texas) | D 16% | D 18% | ▲ 2.3 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 28% | D 31% | ▲ 2.3 |
