Polymarket

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 31 at 28%, ahead of September 30 at 10%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $897K in all.

Favorite
October 31 28%
24 hours
down 7 pts
Traded today
$1K
Traded in all
$897K
Closes
November 1, 2026

Every outcome

  1. October 3128%▼ 7
  2. September 3010%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:37 AM7:37 PM7:37 AM28% October 31

The line follows the current favorite, October 31. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More world politics markets

Every world politics market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works