Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 94%, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 92%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $499K in all.

Favorite
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 94%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$3K
Traded in all
$499K
Closes
July 1, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 46)

  1. Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
  2. Marine Le Pen92%▲ 1
  3. Édouard Philippe90%▲ 3
  4. Nathalie Arthaud88%
  5. Éric Zemmour88%▼ 1
  6. Fabien Roussel82%▼ 0

40 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:03 AM10:03 PM10:03 AM94% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

The line follows the current favorite, Jean-Luc Mélenchon. One reading an hour.

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