Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 0-5 at 69%, ahead of 5-10 at 28%. $188 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.

Favorite
0-5 69%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$188
Traded in all
$5K
Closes
November 1, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 7)

  1. 0-569%▲ 1
  2. 5-1028%▲ 1
  3. 10-155%▼ 1
  4. 30+2%▲ 1
  5. 15-202%▼ 3
  6. 20-251%▲ 1

1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:08 AM9:08 PM9:08 AM69% 0-5

The line follows the current favorite, 0-5. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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