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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor December 31 at 17%, ahead of October 31 at 7%. $215K traded in the last 24 hours, $16.4M in all.
- Favorite
- December 31 17%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $215K
- Traded in all
- $16.4M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- December 3117%▼ 1
- October 317%▼ 1
- September 30<1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:13 AM9:13 PM9:13 AM17% December 31
The line follows the current favorite, December 31. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
