Kalshi
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
On Oct 4, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Renan Santos at 99%, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 2%. $12K traded in the last 24 hours, $66K in all.
- Favorite
- Renan Santos 99%
- 24 hours
- up 67 pts
- Traded today
- $12K
- Traded in all
- $66K
- Closes
- October 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Renan Santos99%▲ 67
- Ronaldo Caiado2%▼ 28
- Augusto Cury1%▼ 33
- Clariana Barão1%
- Edmilson Costa1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:00 AM10:00 PM10:00 AM99% Renan Santos
The line follows the current favorite, Renan Santos. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
