Kalshi
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
On Oct 4, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Ronaldo Caiado at 95%, ahead of Renan Santos at 3%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $80K in all.
- Favorite
- Ronaldo Caiado 95%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $3K
- Traded in all
- $80K
- Closes
- October 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Ronaldo Caiado95%▼ 3
- Renan Santos3%▲ 7
- Augusto Cury2%▼ 38
- Clariana Barão1%
- Edmilson Costa1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:40 AM11:40 PM11:40 AM95% Ronaldo Caiado
The line follows the current favorite, Ronaldo Caiado. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
