Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flavio Bolsonaro at more than 99%, ahead of Clariana Barao at less than 1%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $61K in all.
- Favorite
- Flavio Bolsonaro >99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $3K
- Traded in all
- $61K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Flavio Bolsonaro>99%
- Clariana Barao<1%
- Edmilson Costa<1%
- Escritor Augusto Cury<1%
- Hertz Dias<1%
- Lula<1%▼ 1
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:01 AM10:01 PM10:01 AM100% Flavio Bolsonaro
The line follows the current favorite, Flavio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
