Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lula at 99%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at 1%. $625 traded in the last 24 hours, $42K in all.
- Favorite
- Lula 99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $625
- Traded in all
- $42K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Lula99%
- Flavio Bolsonaro1%
- Clariana Barao<1%
- Ronaldo Caiado<1%
- Samara<1%
- Veterinário Wilson Grassi<1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:14 AM8:14 PM8:14 AM99% Lula
The line follows the current favorite, Lula. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
