Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lula at more than 99%, ahead of Rui Costa Pimenta at 1%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $20K in all.

Favorite
Lula >99%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$2K
Traded in all
$20K
Closes
October 5, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 13)

  1. Lula>99%
  2. Rui Costa Pimenta1%
  3. Clariana Barao<1%
  4. Pablo Marçal<1%
  5. Ronaldo Caiado<1%
  6. Veterinário Wilson Grassi<1%

7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:29 AM7:29 PM7:29 AM100% Lula

The line follows the current favorite, Lula. One reading an hour.

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