Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lula at 99%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at less than 1%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.

Favorite
Lula 99%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$2K
Traded in all
$16K
Closes
October 5, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 13)

  1. Lula99%
  2. Flavio Bolsonaro<1%
  3. Ronaldo Caiado<1%
  4. Clariana Barao<1%
  5. Hertz Dias<1%
  6. Renan Santos<1%

7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:40 AM11:40 PM11:40 AM99% Lula

The line follows the current favorite, Lula. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More world politics markets

Every world politics market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works