Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lula at 99%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at less than 1%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- Lula 99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Lula99%
- Flavio Bolsonaro<1%
- Ronaldo Caiado<1%
- Clariana Barao<1%
- Hertz Dias<1%
- Renan Santos<1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:40 AM11:40 PM11:40 AM99% Lula
The line follows the current favorite, Lula. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.