Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
On Oct 4, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at more than 99%, ahead of Aldo Rebelo at 1%. $22K traded in the last 24 hours, $196K in all.
- Favorite
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva >99%
- 24 hours
- up 61 pts
- Traded today
- $22K
- Traded in all
- $196K
- Closes
- October 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 14)
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 61
- Aldo Rebelo1%
- Ciro Gomes1%
- Eduardo Bolsonaro1%
- Fernando Haddad1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro1%▼ 66
8 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:36 AM11:36 PM11:36 AM100% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
The line follows the current favorite, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
