Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 44-47% at 99%, ahead of <44% at 1%. $22K traded in the last 24 hours, $37K in all.
- Favorite
- 44-47% 99%
- 24 hours
- up 34 pts
- Traded today
- $22K
- Traded in all
- $37K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome
- 44-47%99%▲ 34
- <44%1%▼ 17
- 47-50%<1%▼ 18
- 50-53%<1%▼ 1
- 53-56%<1%
- 56%+<1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:34 AM11:34 PM11:34 AM99% 44-47%
The line follows the current favorite, 44-47%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
