Kalshi

Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)

Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 37% at more than 99%, ahead of At least 40% at more than 99%. $12K traded in the last 24 hours, $31K in all.

Favorite
At least 37% >99%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$12K
Traded in all
$31K
Closes
October 4, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. At least 37%>99%
  2. At least 40%>99%▲ 6
  3. At least 42%>99%▲ 5
  4. At least 44%>99%▲ 25
  5. At least 45%98%▲ 57
  6. At least 46%2%▼ 23

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:23 AM6:23 PM6:23 AM100% At least 37%

The line follows the current favorite, At least 37%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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