Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flavio Bolsonaro at 90%, ahead of Lula at 9%. $394 traded in the last 24 hours, $394 in all.

Favorite
Flavio Bolsonaro 90%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$394
Traded in all
$394
Closes
October 26, 2026

Every outcome

  1. Flavio Bolsonaro90%
  2. Lula9%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:07 PM1:07 AM1:07 PM90% Flavio Bolsonaro

The line follows the current favorite, Flavio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.

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