Polymarket
European military action against Iran by...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor December 31 at 6%, ahead of October 31 at 3%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $328K in all.
- Favorite
- December 31 6%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $328K
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
Every outcome
- December 316%
- October 313%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM6% December 31
The line follows the current favorite, December 31. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.