Polymarket
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor François Hollande at 67%, ahead of Dominique de Villepin at 56%. $212 traded in the last 24 hours, $106K in all.
- Favorite
- François Hollande 67%
- 24 hours
- down 7 pts
- Traded today
- $212
- Traded in all
- $106K
- Closes
- April 18, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 15)
- François Hollande67%▼ 7
- Dominique de Villepin56%▼ 0
- Bernard Cazeneuve47%▼ 4
- Yaël Braun-Pivet10%
- Michel Barnier9%
- Manuel Bompard9%▲ 2
9 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:51 AM9:51 PM9:51 AM67% François Hollande
The line follows the current favorite, François Hollande. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
