Polymarket
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Raphaël Glucksmann at 96%, ahead of Ségolène Royal at 3%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Raphaël Glucksmann 96%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- October 10, 2026
Every outcome
- Raphaël Glucksmann96%
- Ségolène Royal3%
- Olivier Faure2%
- Jérôme Guedj1%▼ 1
- Emmanuel Maurel1%▼ 1
- Philippe Brun1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:43 AM7:43 PM7:43 AM96% Raphaël Glucksmann
The line follows the current favorite, Raphaël Glucksmann. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 84%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 83%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 48%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 72%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 5 99%
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
