Polymarket

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 40-45% at 38%, ahead of 45-50% at 36%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Favorite
40-45% 38%
24 hours
up 4 pts
Traded today
$3K
Traded in all
$13K
Closes
October 8, 2026

Every outcome

  1. 40-45%38%▲ 4
  2. 45-50%36%▲ 18
  3. 35-40%10%▼ 8
  4. 30-35%8%▼ 7
  5. 50%+6%▼ 1
  6. <30%2%▼ 7

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:59 PM12:59 AM12:59 PM38% 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, 40-45%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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