Polymarket
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Sagal Abdi-Wali at 92%, ahead of Zack Polanski at 7%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $81K in all.
- Favorite
- Sagal Abdi-Wali 92%
- 24 hours
- up 6 pts
- Traded today
- $3K
- Traded in all
- $81K
- Closes
- July 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 23)
- Sagal Abdi-Wali92%▲ 6
- Zack Polanski7%▼ 6
- Pat Callaghan<1%
- Adam Harrison<1%
- Richard Olszewski<1%
- Sarah Hayward<1%
17 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:16 AM6:16 PM6:16 AM92% Sagal Abdi-Wali
The line follows the current favorite, Sagal Abdi-Wali. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.