Polymarket
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 170-189 at 44%, ahead of 190-209 at 40%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- 170-189 44%
- 24 hours
- down 7 pts
- Traded today
- $60
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- October 4, 2026
Every outcome
- 170-18944%▼ 7
- 190-20940%▲ 4
- <1708%▲ 1
- 210-2297%▼ 0
- 230+1%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:31 AM10:31 PM10:31 AM44% 170-189
The line follows the current favorite, 170-189. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 85%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 83%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 48%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 69%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 16%
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 5 99%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
