Polymarket

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 21%+ at 41%, ahead of Democrat 18-21% at 18%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 21%+ 41%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 21%+41%
  2. Democrat 18-21%18%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 6-9%14%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 15-18%12%▼ 1
  5. Democrat 12-15%7%
  6. Democrat 9-12%6%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:10 AM8:10 PM8:10 AM41% Democrat 21%+

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 21%+. One reading an hour.

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