Polymarket
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Marine Le Pen at 91%, ahead of Édouard Philippe at 45%. $24K traded in the last 24 hours, $268K in all.
- Favorite
- Marine Le Pen 91%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $24K
- Traded in all
- $268K
- Closes
- April 19, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 36)
- Marine Le Pen91%
- Édouard Philippe45%▲ 2
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon44%▲ 2
- David Lisnard13%
- Gabriel Attal7%▲ 2
- Bruno Retailleau7%▲ 2
30 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:07 AM9:07 PM9:07 AM91% Marine Le Pen
The line follows the current favorite, Marine Le Pen. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
