Polymarket
NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 27%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 26%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 20-25% 27%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 20-25%27%
- Democrat 25-30%26%
- Democrat 15-20%21%
- Democrat 10-15%6%
- Democrat 5-10%5%
- Democrat 35%+5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:25 AM11:25 PM11:25 AM27% Democrat 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
