Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor November 30, 2027 at 66%, ahead of December 31, 2027 at 65%. $13K traded in the last 24 hours, $8.3M in all.
- Favorite
- November 30, 2027 66%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $13K
- Traded in all
- $8.3M
- Closes
- July 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 15)
- November 30, 202766%▲ 1
- December 31, 202765%▼ 4
- October 31, 202763%
- September 30, 202761%▼ 0
- August 31, 202757%▲ 1
- July 31, 202754%▲ 3
9 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:08 AM10:08 PM10:08 AM66% November 30, 2027
The line follows the current favorite, November 30, 2027. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
