Polymarket
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 800–900B at 25%, ahead of 700–800B at 22%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $25K in all.
- Favorite
- 800–900B 25%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $25K
- Closes
- May 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- 800–900B25%
- 700–800B22%▲ 1
- 900B–1T14%▲ 1
- 600–700B14%
- 500–600B5%
- 1T–1.1T4%▼ 0
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:27 AM7:27 PM7:27 AM25% 800–900B
The line follows the current favorite, 800–900B. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
