Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) at 14%, ahead of ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) at 14%. $5K traded in the last 24 hours, $1.2M in all.

Favorite
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 14%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$5K
Traded in all
$1.2M
Closes
January 1, 2027

Every outcome

  1. Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%
  2. ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)14%
  3. Dilution of Iran's Uranium13%▲ 1
  4. 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium10%
  5. Iran Reconstruction Funding9%
  6. Enriched Uranium Surrender5%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM14% Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

The line follows the current favorite, Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year). One reading an hour.

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