Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

U.S.-Iran senior-level meeting

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2027 at 44%, ahead of Before Dec 1, 2026 at 31%. $504 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite: Before Jan 1, 2027 44%
24 hours: down 23 pts
Traded today: $504
Traded in all: $14K
Closes: November 1, 2026

Every outcome

Before Jan 1, 202744%▼ 23
Before Dec 1, 202631%▼ 4
Before Nov 1, 202618%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:47 AM9:47 PM9:47 AM44% Before Jan 1, 2027

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2027. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

<iframe src="https://parlaythepeople.com/embed/market/k-kxusiranmeeting-27/" width="100%" height="250" style="border:0;max-width:420px" loading="lazy" title="Odds from Parlay the People"></iframe>

See this market on Kalshi →

More world politics markets

Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 85%
Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 83%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 49%
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 70%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 16%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 5 99%

Every world politics market →

Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.