Kalshi
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Transit calls
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2029 at 72%, ahead of Before Jul 1, 2028 at 67%. $82K traded in the last 24 hours, $12.3M in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2029 72%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $82K
- Traded in all
- $12.3M
- Closes
- October 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Before Jan 1, 202972%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202867%▲ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202854%
- Before Jul 1, 202746%▲ 4
- Before Apr 1, 202733%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202714%▲ 2
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%1:02 PM1:02 AM1:02 PM72% Before Jan 1, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2029. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
