Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor No Meeting by December 31 at 53%, ahead of Qatar at 26%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $133K in all.
- Favorite
- No Meeting by December 31 53%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $3K
- Traded in all
- $133K
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 19)
- No Meeting by December 3153%▲ 2
- Qatar26%▲ 7
- Pakistan5%
- Switzerland4%▼ 1
- UAE4%
- Oman4%
13 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:54 PM12:54 AM12:54 PM53% No Meeting by December 31
The line follows the current favorite, No Meeting by December 31. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.