Polymarket
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan at 16%, ahead of Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar at 16%. $76 traded in the last 24 hours, $184K in all.
- Favorite
- Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan 16%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $76
- Traded in all
- $184K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan16%▲ 4
- Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar16%
- Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar12%
- Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez11%
- Juan Reyes Mejía González11%▼ 3
- Juan Pablo Ledezma11%▼ 1
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:32 AM7:32 PM7:32 AM16% Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
The line follows the current favorite, Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
