Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Venezuela at 16%, ahead of Lebanon at 11%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $825K in all.
- Favorite
- Venezuela 16%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $825K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 16)
- Venezuela16%▼ 1
- Lebanon11%▲ 2
- Saudi Arabia6%
- Tunisia6%
- Pakistan5%
- Syria5%
10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:14 AM9:14 PM9:14 AM16% Venezuela
The line follows the current favorite, Venezuela. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
