Polymarket
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Indonesia at 13%, ahead of Mexico at 13%. $128 traded in the last 24 hours, $400K in all.
- Favorite
- Indonesia 13%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $128
- Traded in all
- $400K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 17)
- Indonesia13%▲ 1
- Mexico13%▲ 1
- Canada13%▲ 1
- Vietnam11%▼ 2
- Japan11%▲ 4
- India10%
11 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:48 AM9:48 PM9:48 AM13% Indonesia
The line follows the current favorite, Indonesia. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
