Kalshi
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
Before Aug 26, 2029
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Friedrich Merz at 17%, ahead of Alice Weidel at 15%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.
- Favorite
- Friedrich Merz 17%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $2K
- Closes
- August 26, 2029
Every outcome
- Friedrich Merz17%
- Alice Weidel15%
- Lars Klingbeil11%
- Baerbel Bas11%
- No one11%
- Felix Banaszak8%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:24 AM6:24 PM6:24 AM17% Friedrich Merz
The line follows the current favorite, Friedrich Merz. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
