Polymarket

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flávio Bolsonaro at 40%, ahead of Lula da Silva at 3%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $39K in all.

Favorite
Flávio Bolsonaro 40%
24 hours
down 10 pts
Traded today
$4K
Traded in all
$39K
Closes
October 26, 2026

Every outcome

  1. Flávio Bolsonaro40%▼ 10
  2. Lula da Silva3%▲ 1
  3. Romeu Zema1%
  4. Augusto Cury1%
  5. Renan Santos<1%▼ 1
  6. Ronaldo Caiado<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:58 AM9:58 PM9:58 AM40% Flávio Bolsonaro

The line follows the current favorite, Flávio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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