Polymarket
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Ursula von der Leyen at 37%, ahead of Mark Rutte at 26%. $589 traded in the last 24 hours, $561K in all.
- Favorite
- Ursula von der Leyen 37%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $589
- Traded in all
- $561K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Ursula von der Leyen37%▲ 4
- Mark Rutte26%▲ 14
- Emmanuel Macron19%▼ 0
- António Guterres14%▲ 3
- Mark Carney13%▲ 2
- JD Vance7%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:10 AM9:10 PM9:10 AM37% Ursula von der Leyen
The line follows the current favorite, Ursula von der Leyen. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
