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On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?

Before Jan 1, 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 25% chance. $985 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Chance of Yes: 25%
24 hours: up 13 pts
Traded today: $985
Traded in all: $13K
Closes: January 1, 2027

The odds

Yes25%▲ 13

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:12 AM8:12 PM8:12 AM25% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.