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On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 10+ at 7%, ahead of 30+ at 1%. $4 traded in the last 24 hours, $45K in all.

Favorite: 10+ 7%
24 hours: up 4 pts
Traded today: $4
Traded in all: $45K
Closes: October 1, 2026

Every outcome

10+7%▲ 4
30+1%
40+1%
50+1%
20+1%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:41 AM10:41 PM10:41 AM7% 10+

The line follows the current favorite, 10+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.