Polymarket
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 28% chance. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $969 in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 28%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $969
- Closes
- October 10, 2026
The odds
- Yes28%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:54 AM9:54 PM9:54 AM28% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
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