Kalshi
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
During his term
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it an 18% chance. $2 traded in the last 24 hours, $71K in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 18%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $2
- Traded in all
- $71K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
The odds
- Yes18%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM18% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
