Kalshi
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
Diego Garcia sovereignty
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2028 at 45%, ahead of Before Aug 1, 2027 at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2028 45%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- December 1, 2026
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 202845%
- Before Aug 1, 202738%
- Before Apr 1, 202726%
- Before Dec 1, 202615%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:12 AM10:12 PM10:12 AM45% Before Jan 1, 2028
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2028. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
