VT
Vermont elections
Vermont has 2 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Governor: Phil Scott (R) 77%; VT-AL House: Becca Balint (D) 99%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Phil Scott (R) 77% | Likely R | $636K |
| VT-AL House | Becca Balint (D) 99% | Safe D | $57K |
2028 races
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Vermont, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Proposal 3 (2026)90% pass
- Proposal 4 (2026)87% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $1.1M
Every federal candidate running in Vermont, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Vermont markets
- Vermont Governor Election: Turnout325K-350K 40%
- Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election WinnerMolly Gray (D) 89%
- Vermont Lieutenant Governor winner?Molly Gray 92%
- Vermont Governor margin of victoryRepublicans, 11+ pts 37%
- Vermont Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-5% 28%
- Vermont Attorney General winner?Charity R. Clark 97%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?Proposal 3 90%
- Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percentAt least 51% 88%
- Vermont Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 260K 93%
- Vermont margin of victoryBalint, 26+ pts 90%
- Vermont Governor election: Amanda Janoo vote percentAt least 24% 98%
- Vermont at large House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 290K 78%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
