Daily market report
Election markets on Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was WA-05 (Washington), where Democratic odds went from 18% to 31%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WA-05 (Washington) | D 18% | D 31% | ▲ 12.6 |
| WA-03 (Washington) | D 80% | D 89% | ▲ 9.5 |
| Michigan Senate | D 64% | D 59% | ▼ 5.2 |
| MI-08 (Michigan) | D 88% | D 92% | ▲ 5.0 |
| MI-07 (Michigan) | D 66% | D 62% | ▼ 4.8 |
| Kansas Governor | D 27% | D 22% | ▼ 4.4 |
| WA-04 (Washington) | D 11% | D 7% | ▼ 4.2 |
| WA-08 (Washington) | D 90% | D 94% | ▲ 4.1 |
| NY-24 (New York) | D 10% | D 6% | ▼ 3.9 |
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 48% | D 44% | ▼ 3.4 |
