Polymarket

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Javier Milei at 44%, ahead of Guillermo Moreno at 16%. $841 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.

Favorite
Javier Milei 44%
24 hours
down 14 pts
Traded today
$841
Traded in all
$2K
Closes
October 25, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 18)

  1. Javier Milei44%▼ 14
  2. Guillermo Moreno16%▲ 6
  3. Sergio Massa16%
  4. Axel Kicillof15%▼ 8
  5. Daniel Hadad14%▲ 10
  6. Karina Milei4%▼ 3

12 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:08 AM7:08 PM7:08 AM44% Javier Milei

The line follows the current favorite, Javier Milei. One reading an hour.

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