Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lula at 95%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at 1%. $45K traded in the last 24 hours, $70K in all.
- Favorite
- Lula 95%
- 24 hours
- up 56 pts
- Traded today
- $45K
- Traded in all
- $70K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Lula95%▲ 56
- Flavio Bolsonaro1%▼ 59
- Clariana Barao<1%
- Edmilson Costa<1%
- Escritor Augusto Cury<1%
- Hertz Dias<1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:12 AM7:12 PM7:12 AM95% Lula
The line follows the current favorite, Lula. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
