Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flavio Bolsonaro at more than 99%, ahead of Samara at less than 1%. $811 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.

Favorite
Flavio Bolsonaro >99%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$811
Traded in all
$15K
Closes
October 5, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 13)

  1. Flavio Bolsonaro>99%▲ 1
  2. Samara<1%
  3. Escritor Augusto Cury<1%
  4. Lula<1%▼ 1
  5. Clariana Barao<1%
  6. Edmilson Costa<1%

7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:13 AM7:13 PM7:13 AM100% Flavio Bolsonaro

The line follows the current favorite, Flavio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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